There’s a high probability that this October’s average monthly temperature will exceed the climatic norm by 1-2°C (the norm ranges from 2.4°C in the extreme southwest to -3.1°C in the extreme northeast). This forecast is provided by the Komi Center for Hydrometeorology and Environmental Monitoring (CHM).
Monthly precipitation is expected to be close to the long-term average (norm 54-74 mm). Due to the prevalence of high atmospheric pressure, the first half of October is expected to be mostly dry and warm. The situation will change in the second half of the month. Cyclones will influence weather conditions. Due to the prevalence of cloudy weather with frequent precipitation, temperatures are expected to be lower than normal and close to it.
The new winter season in the extreme northeast will most likely begin in mid-month. In most parts of the region, it will begin in the last 10 days of October. Due to the forecasted weather conditions, the early appearance of primary ice formations on rivers is expected. (coasts, slush) is not expected.